May Will Not Last Past June

The UK elections projections are in and, if they are borne out by the actual results, the Tories (Conservatives) have won 318 seats out of 650, less than a majority. They are the biggest party by far, but they will need to form a coalition or run a minority government.

The results are a disaster for Brexit supporters, British nationalists, those who oppose the unfettered immigration of practically everyone to Britain, and for British Prime Minister Theresa May.

As I explained in a previous post, it was not enough for May to lead the Tories to victory. She had to enhance their slim majority in Parliament, for that was the reason she called for these early elections. She failed to do that, lost her majority completely, and in fact may end up seeing a Labour party, with the most extreme leader in its history, become the ruling party of Britain.

This is a catastrophe for the Tories, and, personally, for May. She’s the winner on paper, but I doubt she will last for long in her post. Soon, once the dust settles, the Tories will likely choose another leader to replace her. The flamboyant Boris Johnson, perhaps.

Given the long history of British parliamentary politics, it is likely that a prime minister whose term ended in a greater humiliation that Theresa May’s ends up doing will be found, but I doubt that there would be many such examples.

These elections will likely go down as one of the most disastrous and unnecessary acts of Sepuku in British, and perhaps even world history.

How to Win an Election and Lose Your Job

When British Prime Minister Theresa May declared a snap election on 18 April 2017, she was ahead by double digits in the polls over the main opposition party, Labour. Her goal was to win a bigger Tory majority in Parliament to allow her to govern more effectively, without having to woo or cajole every single Tory member to support her policies. (At the moment, the Tories hold 330 seats of the 650 seats in Parliament.)

But elections are unpredictable beasts, as Hillary Clinton learned the hard way. Now, with two days left to the election, the gap between the Tories and Labour had narrowed drastically. Some polls say the Tories still hold a comfortable lead, while others say their lead is razor thin. It appears that some polling companies are using new methodologies, hoping to better capture the outcome of this election, after having failed to predict the previous UK election and the recent American one, so the results may surprise everyone.

What is clear is that what was at first unthinkable, that the Tories would either lose the election or have to form a coalition government with other parties because they would fail to win a clear majority themselves, is now not unlikely. It is also possible that the Tories will emerge victorious, but with even a slimmer majority than the one they now hold.

In either such scenario, Theresa May will likely have to resign.

Theresa May took a gamble when she called for these elections. She ran a shoddy campaign. She proved an uncharismatic, lackluster leader. She will be blamed should the Tories come out of these elections worse off than they were when they entered them.

Winning the election will not be enough for her to retain her job. She declared these elections to enhance her party’s majority in Parliament. If she fails, even while winning, she will face inter-party pressure to resign, and will likely surrender to it.

So Theresa May may win the forthcoming elections, and end up losing her job while doing so. We’ll know in two days.

Last Day of The Auschwitz Violinist Sale

My novel, The Auschwitz Violinist, has been on sale for the past six days. That sale is coming to a close at the end of the day. In twenty-four hours the price of the ebook will jump from $0.99 back to the original price of $4.99.

This sale has been wonderful. A ton of new readers have found and bought the novel. Others have borrowed it on Kindle Unlimited. Some have also picked up a copy of The Dead Sister. Others, I’m sure, will, once they finish reading The Auschwitz Violinist.

If you’re looking for a well-written, emotional, and page-turning mystery novel, you won’t be disappointed with The Auschwitz Violinist. Get your copy for less than a dollar (or a pound if you’re in Britain) before this sale comes to a close.

 

Ten Years Gone, New Adam Lapid Novel is up for Pre-Order

The new Adam Lapid mystery novel, Ten Years Gone, is now up for pre-order on Amazon.

If you order your copy now, you will get your ebook no later than August 4, 2017.

Why no later?

Because I have some tasks on my end to complete before the book goes on regular sale. They should be done well before August 4, in which case I will push forward the official date of release.

Ten Years Gone is a novel that takes place before The Dead Sister and The Auschwitz Violinist. It is a sort of prequel, though, like the other two novels, it is a standalone mystery featuring private investigator Adam Lapid.

This is my most emotional tale yet, and the one with the most twists and turns. Adam Lapid faces many dangers in this novel, both physical and emotional. He has to dig deep inside himself to withstand all that befalls him in this novel as he strives to solve a ten-year-old missing persons case involving a disappeared baby. I feel confident that you will like it.

Click here to order your copy of Ten Years Gone

London and Black March 2002

Reading about the horrific events in London last night, in which a gang of Islamic terrorists murdered six seven civilians and wounded many more, and with these events coming so soon after the atrocious slaughter of innocents in Manchester less than a fortnight ago, I could not help but remember the month of March  2002, and what life was like in Israel at the time.

I fear that soon, perhaps very soon, such a month might befall various countries in Western Europe and that their societies will be irrevocably changed as a result.

March 2002 proved to be the deadliest month in the terror campaign initiated by the Palestinians against Israel in September 2000, following the rejection of the peace deal made by Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak to Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat.

In almost daily shooting and bombings attacks, 125 Israelis died and hundreds more were injured. By this time, Israelis were used to the wails of ambulances in the distance and the somber notices in the media that yet another bus, restaurant, or random congregation of civilians had been struck by a suicide bomber.

In addition to the loss of life and the physical and mental wounds sustained by the thousands of injured, the effects of such a prolonged era of terror were wide-ranging.

Guards were stationed at the entrance to each shopping mall, supermarket, and restaurant. Bags and vehicles were checked before patrons could gain admittance to the cinema, theater, or coffeehouse. An alert that a suicide bomber may be on the way to his destination would cause the police to stop traffic on freeways, causing congestion of titanic proportions.

And there was the fear.

People dreaded using the bus. Some bought an extra car for their children, whether they could afford it or not. I chose walking over riding the bus whenever I could. I cannot imagine how many miles I walked in Tel Aviv during the months leading to March 2002, and for a time after.

Restaurants and cafes stood empty or nearly so. People were afraid to venture out, for no place felt safe. Any man wearing a heavy coat made you feel nervous. Could he have an explosive vest hidden beneath his coat? Was this Death coming to claim you? The economy took a nosedive. Morale was at a nadir. The government and army seemed at a loss.

Above all, there was the sense that death lurked behind every corner, that you were playing Russian roulette whenever you went to a nightclub, a concert, or even walked the sidewalk of a busy street. And there was also the certainty that this was how it was going to be from now on, perhaps forever.

This may be what the future holds for Britain now. This may be what Germany, France, Sweden, and other countries will face in the near future. Unless a solution is found, unless terrorism is eradicated, unless the governments of these countries are seen to be taking decisive and effective action — instead of offering platitudes, prayers, and appeals to a unity which seems to be nonexistent — the future in these countries may be bleak. Not just because more people will die, but also because of how fear will lead the population of these countries to change their behavior and lifestyle.

Guards with guns will become ubiquitous. Bags will be rummaged through before you’re allowed onto into a Tube station or a Metro or onto a train. People will refrain from going to crowded places. They will shy away from any place that may attract the next attacker. Tourism will plummet. Businesses will suffer. Foreign companies will reconsider their decision of opening an office in this or that major city. Musicians and artists will cancel their appearances.

Appeals for people to Keep Calm and Carry On will not suffice. People will strive to protect their children and themselves. They will make decisions based on their justifiable fear. Nothing this or that politician will say will change that. Only action will.

Following the Park Hotel bombing on March 27, 2002, in which thirty Israelis were killed, the IDF launched Operation Defensive Shield, a major operation against Islamic terrorism. Israeli forces dismantled terrorist networks in Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) and brought an end to suicide bombings. But things had not returned to normal. In 2017, there are still guards at supermarkets in Israel. Your bag is still checked at the entrance to shopping malls. Israelis have not forgotten March 2002. I doubt we ever will.

A military operation of the sort carried out by the IDF in 2002 is impossible in Europe. But some form of action — the sort that is potentially effective — will need to be taken. Otherwise, Western Europe might be forever changed.